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2015 NFL Mock Draft – Top 20 Mock Drafts Combined

March 1, 2015

Instead of giving you another 2015 NFL mock draft like the thousands available on the web, I combined the top 20 mocks from various NFL draft experts. It wasn’t easy crunching the numbers for you guys, but I believe this is the most beneficial tool when it comes to predicting where each player is going to be drafted. 19 out of 20 experts project Jameis Winston going as the first overall pick. Most of the experts predict Marcus Mariota to go to the Jets as the sixth overall pick, but some see the quarterback going as early as No. 2 to the Titans or as late as No. 10 to the Rams. Another likely scenario is that the Eagles could trade up to get Mariota and possibly trade away Nick Foles.

The following mock draft is for the first round. For each draft position, I selected the most popular player picked by the experts. I also calculated and provided each player’s average draft position (not a whole number) and standard deviation for each player. A standard deviation of 3.00 or under means that the experts generally agreed upon what part of the draft that player would be selected. A standard deviation of 8.00 or more tells us that the experts highly disagreed on where the player will be drafted. For a list of the 20 experts I used to create this mock draft click here to take you to the bottom of this page.

2015 NFL Mock Draft v1.0 (First Round)

1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Jameis Winston QB Florida St.

Average Pick: 1.05
Standard Deviation: 0.22

2. Tennessee Titans

Leonard Williams DE USC

Average Pick: 2.3
Standard Deviation: 0.47

3. Jacksonville Jaguars

Dante Fowler, JR. OLB Florida

Average Pick: 5.5
Standard Deviation: 3.38

4. Oakland Raiders

Kevin White WR West Virginia

Average Pick: 5.8
Standard Deviation: 3.02

5. Washington Redskins

Randy Gregory OLB Nebraska

Average Pick: 5.85
Standard Deviation: 2.13

6. New York Jets

Marcus Mariota QB Oregon

Average Pick: 5.25
Standard Deviation: 2.45

7. Chicago Bears

Danny Shelton DT Washington

Average Pick: 8.8
Standard Deviation: 3.46

8. Atlanta Falcons

Shane Ray DE Missouri

Average Pick: 10.05
Standard Deviation: 5.06

9. New York Giants

Brandon Scherff OG Iowa

Average Pick: 11
Standard Deviation: 5.04

10. St. Louis Rams

Amari Cooper WR Alabama

Average Pick: 8.1
Standard Deviation: 3.18

11. Minnesota Vikings

La’el Collins OT LSU

Average Pick: 19.85
Standard Deviation: 8.50

12. Cleveland Browns

DeVante Parker WR Louisville

Average Pick: 13.1
Standard Deviation: 2.10

13. New Orleans Saints

Vic Beasley OLB Clemson

Average Pick: 10.35
Standard Deviation: 4.693500545

14. Miami Dolphins

Trae Waynes CB Michigan St.

Average Pick: 14.65
Standard Deviation: 5.03

15. San Francisco 49ers

Arik Armstead DT Oregon

Average Pick: 23.2
Standard Deviation: 9.41

16. Houston Texans

Jalen Collins CB LSU

Average Pick: 28.2
Standard Deviation: 10.21

17. San Diego Chargers

Alvin “Bud” Dupree OLB Kentucky

Average Pick: 18.8
Standard Deviation: 6.85

18. Kansas City Chiefs

Andrus Peat OT Stanford

Average Pick: 19.4
Standard Deviation: 7.24

19. Cleveland Browns (pick obtained from Buffalo Bills)

Malcom Brown DT Texas

Average Pick: 20.2
Standard Deviation: 6.73

20. Philadelphia Eagles

Marcus Peters CB Washington

Average Pick: 28.15
Standard Deviation: 9.85

21. Cincinnati Bengals

Shaq Thompson OLB Washington

Average Pick: 29.95
Standard Deviation: 9.93

22. Pittsburgh Steelers

Landon Collins SS Alabama

Average Pick: 18.15
Standard Deviation: 7.55

23. Detroit Lions

Eddie Goldman DT Florida St.

Average Pick: 25.55
Standard Deviation: 8.33

24. Arizona Cardinals

Eli Harold OLB Virginia

Average Pick: 31.3
Standard Deviation: 7.82

25. Carolina Panthers

T.J. Clemmings OT Pittsburgh

Average Pick: 24.8
Standard Deviation: 10.31

26. Baltimore Ravens

Dorial Green-Beckham WR Missouri

Average Pick: 28.65
Standard Deviation: 9.95

27. Dallas Cowboys

Melvin Gordon RB Wisconsin

Average Pick: 27.45
Standard Deviation: 7.75

28. Denver Broncos

Jordan Phillips DT Oklahoma

Average Pick: 30.35
Standard Deviation: 6.56

29. Indianapolis Colts

D.J. Humphries OT Florida

Average Pick: 33.6
Standard Deviation: 8.98

30. Green Bay Packers

Ereck Flowers OT Miami

Average Pick: 24.65
Standard Deviation: 9.44

31. Seattle Seahawks

Todd Gurley RB Georgia

Average Pick: 29.65
Standard Deviation: 8.21

32. New England Patriots

Cameron Erving C Florida St.

Average Pick: 34.55
Standard Deviation: 6.24

Here are links to the 20 experts I used to make my 2015 NFL mock draft. Some links contain multiple experts. I used the most recent versions of the mock drafts I could possibly find.

Jameis Winston top banner photo credit: Brook Ward